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Risk Factor
Magic: The Gathering · Rare

Risk Factor

$1.04
+$0.17+19.1% · 30D
Aggregated from verified sold data · eBay, TCGplayer & PriceCharting
Where these prices come from

Magic: The Gathering prices on TCGIndex are TCGplayer market prices (the US market), in US dollars, with graded and sold prices from PriceCharting and eBay. Another currency is a conversion from USD at the day's rate, not a European market price. We do not use Cardmarket or Cardtrader prices for Magic: The Gathering.

Market Health
Excellent
Strong demand
Confidence
74/100
Reliable
Liquidity
Medium
Moderate activity
Verified Sales
52
Updated 7h ago
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Model signal
Before the price moves

We find the Magic: The Gathering cards about to rise.

Every night the model scores every Magic card on the market. Every morning at 07:30 UTC it publishes the one most likely to gain 10% within 30 days, with its entry price and the reasons, then scores it in public.

See today’s Magic pick

Published this morning, public in 14 days. Full record

Price & Volume
Market price Sales volume
Jul 2026 – today
Sales & Liquidity
Market Price$1.04
7-Day Change+3.7%
90-Day Change-7.1%
LiquidityMedium
Market TrendStable
Price by Condition · 9
Anchored to market price · condition spread from TCGplayer
Near Mint
Foil · English
$1.04
+1.0%
Near Mint
Normal · English
$0.56
+3.7%
Lightly Played
Normal · English
$0.49
-2.0%
Lightly Played
Foil · English
$1.55
+6.2%
Moderately Played
Foil · English
$1.47
-0.7%
Moderately Played
Normal · English
$0.44
-6.4%
Heavily Played
Normal · English
$0.16
-40.7%
Heavily Played
Foil · English
$0.81
Damaged
Normal · English
$0.84
+0.0%

Risk Factor price history

Near Mint market priceon the dates below, from TCGIndex's daily record (46 days tracked). High $1.35 on Jan 2026, low $1.03 on Oct 2026.

WhenPricevs today
Today$1.04
7 days ago$1.05-1.0%
30 days ago$1.05-1.0%
90 days ago$1.18-11.9%
6 months ago$1.29-19.4%
MonthMonth-end price
Jan 2026$1.35
Feb 2026$1.32
Mar 2026$1.28
Apr 2026$1.29
May 2026$1.23
Jun 2026$1.21
Jul 2026$1.18
Aug 2026$1.05
Oct 2026$1.04

Risk Factor FAQ

How much is Risk Factor worth right now?
Risk Factor from Guilds of Ravnica is trading around $1.04 raw (ungraded) on the secondary market. TCGIndex refreshes this price every day.
Is Risk Factor going up or down?
Risk Factor is up +19.1% over 30 days, up +3.7% over 7 days. The full price history is on this page.
Is Risk Factor a good investment?
TCGIndex doesn't give financial advice, but here's the data worth knowing: it sits around $1.04, up +19.1% over the last 30 days, with low volatility. Prices can move fast, so look at the trend and your own timeframe before you buy. TCGIndex publishes one Magic: The Gathering pick every morning; each pick becomes public 14 days later and is scored at day 30.